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BigPaulSports > Blog > NFL > Playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Which teams could lock in spots
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Playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Which teams could lock in spots

BigP
Last updated: 2022/12/29 at 5:36 PM
BigP Published December 29, 2022
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Playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Which teams could lock in spots
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Contents
NFL playoff matchups as it stands nowAFCWeek 17 AFC playoff-clinching scenariosWeek 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenariosNFL playoff chances, per ESPN’s Football Power Index
  • ESPN staff

With just two weeks left in the 2022 NFL regular season, the playoff picture is shaping up. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 17.

In the AFC, the Buffalo Bills look to clinch home-field advantage and a first-round bye with a win against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are hoping to claim the AFC North division title.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have entered the NFC playoff race and can clinch the NFC South with a win. The New York Giants are still hoping to grab a playoff spot, and the Philadelphia Eagles look to finish off their near-perfect regular season with home-field advantage.

Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 17 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making the field, seven from each conference.

NFL playoff matchups as it stands now

AFC

Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Bills (East), Chiefs (West), Bengals, Ravens, Chargers


NFC

Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Eagles, Cowboys, 49ers (West), Vikings (North)

Week 17 AFC playoff-clinching scenarios

Opponent: Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) | Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC

Buffalo clinches home-field advantage and AFC’s lone first-round bye with:

  • BUF win + KC loss


Opponent: Buffalo Bills (12-3) | Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC

Cincinnati clinches AFC North with:


Opponent: New England Patriots (7-8) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Miami clinches playoff berth with:

Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios

Opponent: Indianapolis Colts (4-10-1) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Giants clinch playoff berth with:

  • NYG win OR

  • NYG tie + SEA loss or tie + WSH loss or tie OR

  • NYG tie + SEA loss or tie + DET loss or tie OR

  • NYG tie + WSH loss or tie + DET loss or tie + GB loss or tie OR

  • SEA loss + WSH loss OR

  • SEA loss + DET loss + GB loss or tie OR

  • WSH loss + DET loss + GB loss


Opponent: New Orleans Saints (6-9), | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Philadelphia clinches NFC East with:

  • PHI win or tie OR

  • DAL loss or tie

Philadelphia clinches home-field advantage and NFC’s lone first-round bye with:


Opponent: Carolina Panthers (6-9) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Tampa Bay clinches NFC South with:


Opponent: Cleveland Browns (6-9) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Washington clinches playoff berth with:


NFL playoff chances, per ESPN’s Football Power Index

Team Playoff
chances
Division title
chances
Top seed
chances
BAL Clinched 34.7% n/a
BUF Clinched Clinched 52.5%
CIN Clinched 65.3% 9.1%
DAL Clinched 2.1% 1.3%
KC Clinched Clinched 38.4%
MIN Clinched Clinched 1.0%
PHI Clinched 97.9% 97.5%
LAC Clinched n/a n/a
SF Clinched Clinched 0.2%
NYG 95.2% n/a n/a
JAX 78.9% 78.8% n/a
MIA 67.9% n/a n/a
TB 65.9% 65.9% n/a
GB 36.9% n/a n/a
CAR 32.2% 32.2% n/a
SEA 28.3% n/a n/a
WSH 22.4% n/a n/a
TEN 21.2% 21.2% n/a
NE 19.2% n/a n/a
DET 16.9% n/a n/a
NYJ 10.2% n/a n/a
NO 2.2% 1.9% n/a
PIT 1.9% n/a n/a
LV 0.8% n/a n/a

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BigP December 29, 2022
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