Here are how the futures awards markets shape up entering Week 11, headlined by a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the two MVP favorites.
MVP
For the second time in three weeks, the two MVP favorites will meet in a standalone game. Two weeks ago, Patrick Mahomes bested Tua Tagovailoa to become the sole favorite in this market. Now, Mahomes faces Jalen Hurts, with the winner likely entering next week as the favorite.
None of the favorites boosted their MVP cases last week. Mahomes, Hurts and Tagovailoa were all on bye, while Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen all lost as significant favorites. Jackson (+375) and Burrow (10-1) face each other this week, with Burrow likely needing an upset win to remain a realistic candidate. Two longshots who made moves up the board were C.J. Stroud, (100-1 to 25-1) and Dak Prescott (60-1 to 35-1).
Offensive Player of the Year
McCaffrey rejoined Hill on top of the market despite his touchdown streak finally coming to an end. Hill is first in yards from scrimmage while McCaffrey leads in touchdowns. Hill remains on pace for 2,000 receiving yards (2,033), and he leads A.J. Brown (+500) by 71 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Hill and McCaffrey both play in games as big favorites this week, so both have a chance to pad their stat lines further.
CeeDee Lamb has made a recent surge after becoming the first player in NFL history to have 10 receptions and 150 yards in three straight games. He has gone from 75-1 to 20-1 in the last three weeks. He’s only 30 yards behind Brown, though Lamb only has four touchdowns. Keenan Allen has also moved from 100-1 to 50-1 after posting 175 yards and two scores last week.
Defensive Player of the Year
This has been a pretty stagnant market most of the season, but last week saw the biggest move yet in this market. Garrett received a lot of hype in midseason awards articles, including on ESPN.com, and he backed that up with 1.5 sacks in an upset win over the Ravens. Garrett’s case is as the best defender on the NFL’s best defense, and now he is also tied for the NFL lead in sacks. T.J. Watt (+200) and Parsons (+225) remain right on Garrett’s heels, but Garrett has the strongest case right now.
Coach of the Year
Dan Campbell continues to grow his lead in this market after another Lions win. The Lions are now even money to get at least 13 wins according to ESPN BET. Eighteen of the past 20 coaches to win this award had at least a four-win improvement, which would be 13 wins for the Lions.
DeMeco Ryans is Campbell’s toughest competition at this point. The Texans are now -105 to make the playoffs (-115 to miss), and leading the Texans to the playoffs could easily be enough for Ryans to win this award.
Sunday Night Football could affect this market. Kevin O’Connell is the fourth favorite at +750. His Vikings are -200 to make the playoffs, and a playoff appearance with Joshua Dobbs gives O’Connell a fighting chance. His opponent, Sean Payton, is 150-1 at ESPN BET. Payton has an uphill climb with his Broncos +700 to make the playoffs. But if he gets there, taking over a 5-12 team and making the playoffs after a 1-5 start would make him a formidable candidate.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
This market seems all but over barring injury. C.J. Stroud is a prohibitive -2000 favorite after another strong performance in an upset win over the Bengals. Jahmyr Gibbs is now tied with Puka Nacua as the second favorite at 18-1.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
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Favorite: Jalen Carter (-190)
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Last week’s favorite: Carter (-240)
Carter remains the odds-on favorite in this market as none of the other contenders had big games during Carter’s bye week. Carter’s numbers have never been that much better than some of the other candidates. Carter’s team could isn’t likely to add to his total of four sacks this week against the Chiefs, but in a massive game on Monday Night Football, anything positive he does will be magnified on the big stage.
Odds by ESPN BET
