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BigPaulSports > Blog > Game Analysis > Army vs. Navy: Prediction, odds, picks
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Army vs. Navy: Prediction, odds, picks

BigP
Last updated: 2023/12/06 at 9:10 PM
BigP Published December 6, 2023
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Army vs. Navy: Prediction, odds, picks
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Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts is the setting for the Army Black Knights’ (5-6) matchup against the Navy Midshipmen (5-6) on December 9, 2023, starting at 3:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The Black Knights are a 3-point favorite in the matchup. This matchup has an over/under of 27.5 points.

Contents
Cowboys vs. Eagles is a ‘must-win’ for Dak’s Cowboys | The Carton ShowArmy vs. Navy Game Information & OddsArmy vs. Navy PredictionPick via FOX Sports Betting Analyst Will Hill Army vs. Navy Betting InsightsArmy vs. Navy: Head-to-HeadArmy vs. Navy: 2023 Stats ComparisonArmy 2023 Key PlayersNavy 2023 Key Players 

The Black Knights beat the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 28-21, in their most recent contest. The Midshipmen lost to the SMU Mustangs, 59-14, in their most recent game.

Here’s everything you need to know about the matchup between Navy and Army — the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and an expert pick from Will Hill. 

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Army vs. Navy Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET
  • Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • TV: CBS
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Army vs Navy Betting Information updated as of December 6, 2023, 2:45 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Army -3 (-104) -147 +123 27.5 -111 -109

Army vs. Navy Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Army (-3)  
  • Pick OU: Over (27.5) 
  • Prediction: Army 23, Navy 20

Pick via FOX Sports Betting Analyst Will Hill 

This is another case where timing of the bet is key. If you do like the Over, wait. 

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This game is notorious for staying Under, much like the Hall of Fame Game in the NFL, and that depresses the price of the total. 

People will hear the trend all week that this game typically goes Under, and bet accordingly. Here’s the thing about this game usually staying Under — this total used to be in the high 40’s, then low 40s, then eventually 30s. Now we’re at 27.5! 

I think it continues to drop. 

Keep in mind, three out of the last four matchups have seen 30+ points scored, so while this total should be low, I think it’s too low. 

Wait, and maybe you’ll even get 26.5, which is a key number considering a 17-10 game would then put you over — but I’m being a little different here and going over.

PICK: Over 27.5 points scored by both teams combined

Army vs. Navy Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Black Knights 15, Midshipmen 12.
  • The Black Knights have a 59.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline’s implied probability. The Midshipmen hold a 44.8% implied probability.
  • Army has compiled a 3-6-1 record against the spread this season.
  • Navy has covered four times in 10 matchups with a spread this season.

Army vs. Navy: Head-to-Head

  • In their past two matchups, Navy holds a split 1-1 record against Army.
  • The Black Knights and the Midshipmen have been an even matchup over their last two games, sporting a split 1-1 record against the spread. In those two games, the two teams have gone over the total on one occasion.
  • Army has been outscored by 1 point in its last two tilts versus Navy.

Army vs. Navy: 2023 Stats Comparison

  Army Navy
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 20.8 (120) 18.3 (130)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.0 (23) 22.9 (28)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 22 (120) 11 (12)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 17 (58) 24 (8)

Army 2023 Key Players

Navy 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Alex Tecza FB 52 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Eli Heidenreich RB 214 YDS / 1 TD / 19.5 YPG / 7.9 YPC
15 REC / 326 REC YDS / 4 REC TD / 29.6 REC YPG
Tai Lavatai QB 522 YDS (53.3%) / 4 TD / 2 INT
171 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 15.5 RUSH YPG
Xavier Arline QB 320 YDS (54.8%) / 2 TD / 1 INT
251 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 22.8 RUSH YPG
Colin Ramos LB 92 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Rayuan Lane FS 58 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 4 INT
Luke Pirris LB 47 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Will Harbour LB 70 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK

 

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TAGGED: college-football
BigP December 6, 2023
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