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Reading: Patriots-Steelers flirts with 30-year low for total
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BigPaulSports > Blog > NFL > Patriots-Steelers flirts with 30-year low for total
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Patriots-Steelers flirts with 30-year low for total

BigP
Last updated: 2023/12/08 at 12:26 AM
BigP Published December 8, 2023
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Patriots-Steelers flirts with 30-year low for total
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  • David Purdum, ESPN Staff WriterDec 7, 2023, 11:56 AM ET

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    • Joined ESPN in 2014
    • Journalist covering gambling industry since 2008

The betting over/under total on the “Thursday Night Football” game between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers is testing a 30-year low, and weather isn’t even a factor.

The total on the Patriots-Steelers game dipped to 29.5 earlier this week at ESPN BET before settling at a consensus 30 at sportsbooks as of Thursday morning. That would be the lowest over/under since a 2006 divisional playoff game between the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears (30).

There hasn’t been a total under 30 since Dec. 26, 1993, when frigid temperatures contributed to three games having sub-30 totals. That Sunday featured the lowest total on a game in ESPN Stats & Information’s database: 28 on Colts at Patriots in New England, where temperatures were in the low 20s with 23 mph winds. The Patriots won that game 38-0.

Temperatures on Thursday in Pittsburgh are expected to be in the 40s with light winds.

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The Steelers will start backup Mitch Trubisky at quarterback against the Patriots’ stingy defense because of Kenny Pickett being out with a high ankle sprain, while New England has scored seven points or fewer in three straight games. Bailey Zappe took over as the starting quarterback for Sunday’s 6-0 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Patriots-Steelers total was attracting more betting interest than usual at sportsbooks, the bulk of it on the under. Upward of 80% of the early bets on the total were on the under at multiple sportsbooks. A spokesperson for BetMGM said Thursday that there had been more bets on the total than any other market it was offering on the Patriots-Steelers game. Typically, the point spread garners the most bets.

The total on Sunday’s Jacksonville Jaguars–Cleveland Browns game, where a potential combination of backup quarterbacks and windy, rainy weather is in play, also was among the lowest NFL over/under in decades and was listed at a consensus 30.5 as of Thursday.

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BigP December 8, 2023
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