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BigPaulSports > Blog > Game Analysis > 2024 NFL Bad Beats: Texans cover after last-second safety
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2024 NFL Bad Beats: Texans cover after last-second safety

BigP
Last updated: 2025/01/19 at 1:26 AM
BigP Published January 19, 2025
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2024 NFL Bad Beats: Texans cover after last-second safety
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Every week in the NFL, bettors, sportsbooks or both bemoan some form of a bad beat. 

Whether it’s a spread pick, a moneyline bet, or a wager on the total points scored — there’s always one occurrence that affects a few bets.

In the divisional-round game between the Chiefs and the Texans, it was the point spread that caused bettors some pain. 

Let’s check out how it all went down. 

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Intentional safety ruins cover for K.C. spread bettors

This was a highly contested game from the jump, with no touchdowns being scored until the second quarter. Kansas City led 6-3 after the first, before going up 13-6 entering halftime.

With the two-time defending Super Bowl champions taking on the Texans, a team that entered the matchup 0-5 all-time in the divisional round, several bettors took the Chiefs to cover the spread, which closed at 9.5. 

With a seven-point lead at half, the cover was looking attainable. But then C.J. Stroud and the Texans engineered a 15-play drive that went 82 yards and resulted in a 13-yard touchdown run by Joe Mixon. The score was now 13-12, after Ka’imi Fairbairn missed the extra point.

Suddenly, it was a sweat.

The Chiefs needed to score in a hurry to have a shot at covering, and they did. Patrick Mahomes led a 13-play drive that went 81 yards, ending with a Travis Kelce touchdown. The score was now 20-12, with 11:52 left in the fourth quarter. Two things had to happen next: The Chiefs had to get a stop, and then K.C. needed at least a field goal on the following offensive possession. 

And in classic Chiefs fashion, both of those things happened. 

They went up 23-12 with 4:38 left, the first time all game that they were covering the spread. On the Texans next drive, the defense miraculously blocked a field goal, nearly ensuring the cover.

Until it wasn’t ensured.

With 1:46 left in the game, the Chiefs ran one play for four yards before taking two knees to make it fourth-and-15 on the Chiefs’ 18-yard line with 11 seconds left in the game. 

Kansas City lined up to punt, but to play it safe and avoid giving up a possible punt return, punter Matt Araiza ran out of the end-zone and purposefully took a safety.

The final score was 23-14, and Chiefs spread bettors lost their wager in a matter of seconds. 

Truly an unthinkable bad beat. 

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TAGGED: nfl
BigP January 19, 2025
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