NFL Postseason Big Bets report: Bettor wagers $1 million on Bills to win Super Bowl

Patrick Everson

FOX Sports Betting Analyst

With the NFL postseason containing just three more games, it’s a good time to check in on any high-paying futures parlays or major wagers still live to any of the remaining four teams.

Some of the larger payouts in Super Bowl odds are on the Washington Commanders, who were once significant long shots but now find themselves two wins from a title.

But the biggest payout by far is well into the millions, on what for now is the largest Super Bowl wager.

Last weekend, DraftKings Sportsbook took a $1 million bet on the Buffalo Bills +550 to win the Super Bowl. That’s a potentially massive $5.5 million profit, if the Bills can notch two more victories.

Read on for more on that ticket and other intriguing Super Bowl bets tied to the final four teams.

Barstool Bettor

On Jan. 19, before the Bills hosted the Ravens in the divisional round, Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy made the aforementioned $1 million wager on the Bills to win it all.

It’s the first reported seven-figure wager on Super Bowl odds, though rest assured, it won’t be the last.

At the time of the bet, Buffalo needed three more wins for it to cash. The Bills subsequently held off the Ravens 27-25 to reach Sunday’s AFC Championship Game. That cut the Bills’ odds by more than half, from the +550 Portnoy got to the current +255.

Which makes a big difference on such a big bet. If the Bills lift the Lombardi Trophy on Feb. 9, then Portnoy’s $1 million wager will net $5.5 million, for a $6.5 million total payout.

Now, at +255 odds, a $1 million bet would profit $2.55 million ($3.55 million total payout). To match Portnoy’s potential $5.5 million profit, a bettor would now have to wager $2.16 million.

Dollars on Daniels

Back on Sept. 6, two days before the Commanders’ season opener vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a DraftKings Sportsbook customer took a noteworthy flier on Washington.

That bet is now far closer than anyone expected — probably including the bettor — to a healthy six-figure cashout.

The Commanders’ Super Bowl odds fluctuated dramatically during the offseason. Last February, Washington opened as long as +15000 (150/1) to win Super Bowl LIX.

Then the team drafted LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels, which led to some betting enthusiasm. By June, DraftKings had the Commanders at +6000 (60/1).

However, as the regular season began, that enthusiasm waned, and Washington slipped back to +12000 (120/1) at DraftKings.

That’s when a bettor decided to put $1,500 on Daniels & Co. at +12000. Now, four-and-a-half months later, that DK customer is two Commanders wins away from a healthy $180,000 payday.

On June 8, a DraftKings customer put $1,000 on Commanders +6000 to win it all. That bettor is probably peeved about not waiting until early September, when Washington’s odds were double that number. Still, there’s a chance to turn $1,000 into $60,000.

That’s a good problem to have.

More recently, in mid-January, a Caesars Sports bettor put $3,000 on Commanders +3000 to lift the Lombardi Trophy. That bet would net $90,000 in profit (total payout $93,000) if Washington wins the Super Bowl.

Another Caesars customer put $5,000 on Commanders +2700 to win the season finale. That bet would profit $135,000 (total payout $140,000).

Parlay Partay

Of course, there are countless futures parlays that end with the Super Bowl winner. The beauty of these bets is that they’re often a little to win a lot.

For instance: Many months ago, well before the 2023-24 NBA and NHL seasons ended, a DraftKings customer put 15 bucks on the following four-leg parlay:

Boston Celtics +265 to win the NBA Finals
Florida Panthers +900 to win the Stanley Cup
Los Angeles Dodgers +360 to win the World Series
Buffalo Bills +1000 to win the Super Bowl

Add it up, and you’ve got massive odds of +184590, or about 1846/1. Now, the bettor is one win away from turning $15 into $27,703.50.

An even bigger payout is still live at FanDuel Sportsbook. Again, back in the spring sometime, a bettor put $20 on this five-leg futures parlay:

Celtics +220 to win the NBA Finals
Panthers +650 to win the Stanley Cup
Man City +125 to win the Premier League
Dodgers +320 to win the World Series
Bills +1200 to win the Super Bowl

So that ticket has odds of +294740, or about 2947/1.

If the Bills go the distance, then the bettor knocks down a profit of $58,948.

Tom Brady on what makes Jayden Daniels so special for the Commanders

Super Bowl Shuffle

Much like some of those straight bets on the Commanders, there are myriad standard futures bets on Super Bowl odds for the Bills, Chiefs and Eagles.

Borgata Sportsbook, a BetMGM property in Atlantic City, saw one customer make two big bets on the Eagles, just before their 22-10 wild-card win over the Green Bay Packers.

$50,000 Eagles +325 to win the NFC
$50,000 Eagles +700 to win the Super Bowl

If the first wager gets there this weekend, then the bettor pockets a profit of $162,500 (total payout $212,500). Subsequently, if Philly wins the Super Bowl, then the bettor nets another $350,000 in profit (total payout $400,000).

So, if all goes well, that customer could clear more than half a million dollars on a team currently favored to win the title.

Prior to Week 18, a Caesars customer put $20,000 on Philadelphia +650 to win the Super Bowl. If the Eagles win it all, that bettor will net $130,000 (total payout $150,000).

On Oct. 25 at DraftKings, a customer got in a $30,000 bet on Buffalo +1200. If Josh Allen & Co. notch two more wins, then the bettor pockets a tidy $360,000 profit (total payout $390,000).

MVP Money

Multiple sportsbooks posted Super Bowl MVP odds early in the postseason. That’s attracted some interesting bets from customers willing to take a risk, well before a team punches its ticket to New Orleans for the Feb. 9 showdown on FOX.

The most interesting wager so far: $550 on Chiefs place-kicker Harrison Butker at odds of +100000. That’s 1000/1. If Kansas City reaches — and presumably wins — a third straight Super Bowl, and Butker is the hero of the day, then that Caesars Sports customer cashes out for a whopping $550,000.

Another Caesars customer put a hundred bucks on Butker at those same odds, angling to win $100,000.

Caesars also took a $1,000 bet on James Cook +12500. If the Bills running back wins the MVP award, then the bettor profits $125,000.

Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. He’s based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas

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