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BigPaulSports > Blog > Game Analysis > 2026 World Cup Odds: Mexico Favored Over Ecuador In Round Of 32
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2026 World Cup Odds: Mexico Favored Over Ecuador In Round Of 32

BigP
Last updated: 2026/06/29 at 3:58 PM
BigP Published June 29, 2026
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2026 World Cup Odds: Mexico Favored Over Ecuador In Round Of 32
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Contents
MoneylineTo AdvanceMexico’s Past World Cup Results

Mexico has won Group A and officially clinched a spot in the knockout round. 

El Tri will play Ecuador in its Round of 32 game in Mexico City on June 30th on FOX. If Mexico advances, it will play the winner of the England vs. DR Congo matchup in the Round of 16.

With the showdown now set, FanDuel Sportsbook has released the betting odds for the Round of 32 matchup.

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Moneyline

Mexico: +120 (bet $10 to win $22 total)
Ecuador: +290 (bet $10 to win $39 total)
Draw: +190 (bet $10 to win $29 total)

To Advance

Mexico: -182 (bet $10 to win $15.49 total)
Ecuador +148 (bet $10 to win $24.80 total)

This is the fourth time that Mexico has topped the group stage of a World Cup, with the other three coming in 1986, 1994 and 2002. 

With the 3-0 win over Czechia on Wednesday, Mexico remains unbeaten in World Cup group games at home, going a combined 7-2-0 (W-D-L), with two wins and a draw in 1970 and 1986, and now three wins in 2026. 

Before the tournament began, Mexico was listed at +6500 to win the World Cup. Now, after winning its first three games of the tournament without giving up a goal, Mexico has surged up the oddsboard to +4500. 

Can Mexico build off its first three matches and make a deep run in this tournament? Let’s check out the updated odds for El Tri as of June 29.

Team Mexico — Stage of Elimination

Last 32: +125 (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)
Last 16: +140 (bet $10 to win $24 total)
Quarterfinals: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Semifinals: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Runner-up: +2700 (bet $10 to win $280 total)
Outright winner: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Mexico is currently +4500 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup after winning Group A (Getty Images).

Mexico’s Past World Cup Results

1930: Group stage
1934: Did not qualify
1938: Withdrew
1950: Group stage
1954: Group stage
1958: Group stage
1962: Group stage
1966: Group stage
1970: Quarterfinals
1974: Did not qualify
1978: Group stage
1982: Did not qualify
1986: Quarterfinals
1990: Banned
1994: Round of 16
1998: Round of 16
2002: Round of 16
2006: Round of 16
2010: Round of 16
2014: Round of 16
2018: Round of 16
2022: Group stage
2026: TBD

What to know: Mexico has made a habit of being in the running, but never really being in the running. Make sense? Consider this: El Tri made it out of the group stage in seven consecutive World Cups (1994-2018), but never made it past the Round of 16 in any of those years. In 2022, Mexico failed to make it out of the group stage. Mexico has now advanced to the knockout stage in eight of the last nine World Cups. It is important to note, however, that Mexico has never made it past the quarterfinals at a FIFA men’s World Cup. 

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TAGGED: soccer
BigP June 29, 2026
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