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New users on Kalshi can receive a $10 trade bonus when they use promo code FOXSPORTS with two playoff series headed in completely different directions tonight.
In Cleveland, the Cavaliers are fighting to avoid falling into a dangerous 3-1 hole against a confident Detroit team led by Cade Cunningham, while Donovan Mitchell and the Cavs desperately need a statement win at home.
Meanwhile, in Los Angeles, the Thunder are one victory away from ending the Lakers’ season after Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and OKC have controlled the series from the opening tip. Will LeBron James and company find a way to extend their season and get to Game 5?
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- Complete identity verification, which Kalshi requires before users can deposit and trade.
- Deposit funds and trade at least $10 in event contracts to receive the $10 bonus trading credit.
Kalshi Odds
*Odds/Probability are subject to change*
| Teams | Chance | Yes | No |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 58% | 60¢ | 41¢ |
| Detroit Pistons | 42% | 42¢ | 59¢ |
| Teams | Chance | Yes | No |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 19% | 18¢ | 83¢ |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 82% | 83¢ | 18¢ |
DET leads 2-1
- Spread: Cavs -3.5
- Moneyline: Pistons +140, Cavs -166
- O/U: 213.5
What to know: This has been a weird series. Each team has yet to lose on its home court, and the games haven’t seen much domination on either side. Take Game 3 for example: Cleveland held Detroit to 18 points in the second quarter and took a 16-point lead into halftime. Then, in the third quarter, the Pistons held the Cavs to 19 points, cutting that deficit to two heading into the fourth. But Cleveland put together its highest-scoring quarter of the game in the final frame to emerge with a seven-point win.
Detroit Pistons – Top Players & Team Stats
- Cade Cunningham: 30.2 PPG, 7.7 APG, 5.6 RPG.
- Tobias Harris: 21.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 1.0 APG.
- Jalen Duren: 10.4 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 2.1 APG.
Team Stats (Postseason Performance)
- Points Per Game: 104.3 PPG.
- Points Allowed: 103.7 PPG.
Trend Note: Detroit has leaned heavily on Cade Cunningham’s all-around production throughout the postseason, with the Pistons winning six of their last eight games. Their defense has held opponents under 100 points in five postseason games.
Cleveland Cavaliers – Top Players & Team Stats
- Donovan Mitchell: 25.1 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 3.0 APG.
- James Harden: 19.5 PPG, 6.0 APG, 5.3 RPG.
- Evan Mobley: 16.3 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 3.7 APG.
Team Stats (Postseason Performance)
- Points Per Game: 109.9 PPG.
- Points Allowed: 109.2 PPG.
Trend Note: Cleveland has relied on Donovan Mitchell’s scoring bursts and late-game shot creation throughout the postseason, while Harden has handled much of the playmaking workload. The Cavaliers are 5-5 in the playoffs and have struggled defensively at times, allowing at least 107 points in six postseason games.
OKC leads 3-0
- Spread: Thunder -11.5
- Moneyline: Thunder -520, Lakers +390
- O/U: 214.5
What to know: It appears the Lakers just don’t have the firepower to compete with the Thunder. OKC has won the first three games of the series by a combined 59 points (19.7 points per game), including a 23-point win in Game 3 in Los Angeles. And consider this: SGA is averaging just 21 points per game on 46% shooting. The Thunder are stacked, and sit at 7-0 in the postseason so far.
Oklahoma City Thunder – Top Players & Team Stats
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 28.3 PPG, 7.0 APG, 3.3 RPG.
- Chet Holmgren: 19.0 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 2.0 BPG.
- Ajay Mitchell: 17.4 PPG, 5.0 APG, 4.1 RPG.
Team Stats (Postseason Performance)
- Points Per Game: 122.3 PPG.
- Points Allowed: 103.9 PPG.
Trend Note: Oklahoma City has dominated the postseason with a 7-0 record, averaging over 122 points per game while consistently forcing teams into uncomfortable offensive stretches. Gilgeous-Alexander continues to control the pace offensively, Holmgren has anchored the interior defense, and Ajay Mitchell has emerged as a major secondary playmaker during the semifinals against the Lakers.
Los Angeles Lakers – Top Players & Team Stats
- LeBron James: 23.1 PPG, 7.8 APG, 6.1 RPG.
- Austin Reaves: 18.6 PPG, 5.8 APG, 3.4 RPG.
- Rui Hachimura: 16.7 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 1.7 APG.
Team Stats (Postseason Performance)
- Points Per Game: 102.2 PPG.
- Points Allowed: 106.8 PPG.
Trend Note: The Lakers opened the postseason by winning four of six games against Houston, but their offense has slowed down during the semifinals against Oklahoma City. LeBron James continues to lead the offense as both a scorer and facilitator, while the Lakers have allowed at least 125 points in back-to-back semifinal losses.
