Underdogs and Overs are the darlings of the NFL preseason. At least that’s been the case so far in 2025.
According to BetMGM, underdogs have gone 19-12 against the spread (ATS) and Overs have gone 22-9.
When it comes to Overs, going into Sunday’s games, they had a 22-7 record. And then the Jaguars-Saints matchup hit the Under, as did the Bills-Bears tilt.
The latter, however, not only hit the Under and deviated from the betting trend, but it also had a bad beat for the ages.
The Bears knelt it out on first and goal, ran out the clock for the two-minute warning to end the game and ultimately prevented one bettor’s chance at cashing in on $3k.
So will Monday night’s Bengals–Commanders contest follow the trend of Overs hitting and underdogs covering to cap off Week 2 of preseason?
Let’s look at the odds at BetMGM as of Aug. 18.
BENGALS @ COMMANDERS (8 p.m., ET, ESPN)
Point spread: Bengals -4 (Bengals favored to win by more than 4 points, otherwise Commanders cover)
Moneyline: Bengals -200 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $15 total); Commanders +165 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
Total scoring Over/Under: 43 points scored by both teams combined
What to know: According to reports, starting quarterback Jayden Daniels — who didn’t play in the team’s first preseason game — could possibly play a few series against Cincinnati. As Washington plays host for the first time this preseason, Daniels & Co. enter the matchup as 4-point underdogs.
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On the Bengals’ side, Cincy’s starting QB Joe Burrow did start in the squad’s first preseason game. In that contest against the Eagles, Burrow had 123 yards and two touchdowns in a 34-27 loss. Head coach Zac Taylor told reporters over the weekend that his plan was to play his starters for at least a portion of the first quarter.
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